AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

Baltimore Ravens at Cincinnati Bengals, final 41–38

BALBALBaltimore Ravens41CINCINCincinnati Bengals38

Pregame first read

BAL run game has the stronger league profile.

BAL run game #2/32 · CIN run defense #28/32 · 136 offense / 126 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model range is based on past scoring errors; current availability is unverified.

Model spread
BAL -2.5
Model total
50
80% range (CIN margin)
+7.1 to +7.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#6/32BAL pass defense#17/32
  • CIN run game#5/32BAL run defense#6/32
  • BAL passing attack#5/32CIN pass defense#25/32
  • BAL run game#2/32CIN run defense#28/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

BALBaltimore Ravens

CINCincinnati Bengals