AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

Carolina Panthers at Chicago Bears, final 10–36

CARCARCarolina Panthers10CHICHIChicago Bears36

Pregame first read

CHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CAR passing attack #25/32 · CHI pass defense #4/32 · 144 offense / 128 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model range is based on past scoring errors; current availability is unverified.

Model spread
CHI -7.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (CHI margin)
+16.9 to +16.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CHI passing attack#27/32CAR pass defense#28/32
  • CHI run game#23/32CAR run defense#24/32
  • CAR passing attack#25/32CHI pass defense#4/32
  • CAR run game#22/32CHI run defense#14/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

CHIChicago Bears