AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Washington Commanders, final 13–34

CLECLECleveland Browns13WASWASWashington Commanders34

Pregame first read

WAS passing attack has the stronger league profile.

WAS passing attack #1/32 · CLE pass defense #13/32 · 117 offense / 131 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model range is based on past scoring errors; current availability is unverified.

Model spread
WAS -5
Model total
47
80% range (WAS margin)
+14.6 to +14.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#1/32CLE pass defense#13/32
  • WAS run game#1/32CLE run defense#12/32
  • CLE passing attack#30/32WAS pass defense#32/32
  • CLE run game#18/32WAS run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

WASWashington Commanders