AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 20–17

DALDALDallas Cowboys20PITPITPittsburgh Steelers17

Pregame first read

PIT run defense has the stronger league profile.

DAL run game #20/32 · PIT run defense #2/32 · 83 offense / 92 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model range is based on past scoring errors; current availability is unverified.

Model spread
PIT -3.5
Model total
41
80% range (PIT margin)
+13.3 to +13.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#12/32DAL pass defense#23/32
  • PIT run game#27/32DAL run defense#30/32
  • DAL passing attack#20/32PIT pass defense#12/32
  • DAL run game#20/32PIT run defense#2/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

PITPittsburgh Steelers