AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Los Angeles Rams, final 24–19

Pregame first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #13/32 · LA pass defense #30/32 · 129 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model range is based on past scoring errors; current availability is unverified.

Model spread
GB -7
Model total
48
80% range (LA margin)
+2.8 to +2.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#22/32GB pass defense#14/32
  • LA run game#10/32GB run defense#4/32
  • GB passing attack#13/32LA pass defense#30/32
  • GB run game#13/32LA run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

LALos Angeles Rams