AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars, final 34–37

INDINDIndianapolis Colts34JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars37

Pregame first read

IND passing attack has the stronger league profile.

IND passing attack #24/32 · JAX pass defense #31/32 · 108 offense / 149 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model range is based on past scoring errors; current availability is unverified.

Model spread
IND -6
Model total
42.5
80% range (JAX margin)
+3.5 to +3.5

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • JAX passing attack#26/32IND pass defense#22/32
  • JAX run game#7/32IND run defense#5/32
  • IND passing attack#24/32JAX pass defense#31/32
  • IND run game#11/32JAX run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

INDIndianapolis Colts

JAXJacksonville Jaguars