AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos, final 18–34

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders18DENDENDenver Broncos34

Pregame first read

DEN run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #32/32 · DEN run defense #7/32 · 81 offense / 105 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model range is based on past scoring errors; current availability is unverified.

Model spread
DEN -3.5
Model total
36.5
80% range (DEN margin)
+12.9 to +12.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#31/32LV pass defense#18/32
  • DEN run game#19/32LV run defense#18/32
  • LV passing attack#21/32DEN pass defense#1/32
  • LV run game#32/32DEN run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

DENDenver Broncos