AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 5 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs, final 13–26

NONONew Orleans Saints13KCKCKansas City Chiefs26

Pregame first read

NO passing attack has the stronger league profile.

NO passing attack #4/32 · KC pass defense #19/32 · 106 offense / 141 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NO -4.5
Model total
45
80% range (KC margin)
-12.3 to +10.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • KC passing attack#18/32NO pass defense#4/32
  • KC run game#12/32NO run defense#19/32
  • NO passing attack#4/32KC pass defense#19/32
  • NO run game#9/32KC run defense#5/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

KCKansas City Chiefs