AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 6 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Green Bay Packers, final 13–34

Pregame first read

GB run game has the stronger league profile.

GB run game #12/32 · ARI run defense #26/32 · 159 offense / 156 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -3
Model total
48.5
80% range (GB margin)
-6.7 to +19.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • GB passing attack#11/32ARI pass defense#23/32
  • GB run game#12/32ARI run defense#26/32
  • ARI passing attack#17/32GB pass defense#11/32
  • ARI run game#7/32GB run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

GBGreen Bay Packers