AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 6 · Final

Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers, final 38–20

ATLATLAtlanta Falcons38CARCARCarolina Panthers20

Pregame first read

ATL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

ATL passing attack #7/32 · CAR pass defense #31/32 · 186 offense / 152 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ATL -8
Model total
47.5
80% range (CAR margin)
-17.4 to +9.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#29/32ATL pass defense#21/32
  • CAR run game#19/32ATL run defense#24/32
  • ATL passing attack#7/32CAR pass defense#31/32
  • ATL run game#28/32CAR run defense#22/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ATLAtlanta Falcons

CARCarolina Panthers