2024 Week 6 · Final
Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles, final 16–20
Pregame first read
PHI run game has the stronger league profile.
PHI run game #4/32 · CLE run defense #16/32 · 117 offense / 135 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- PHI -3
- Model total
- 43
- 80% range (PHI margin)
- -6.7 to +19.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJalen HurtsPHI264 pass yds
- RushingSaquon BarkleyPHI47 rush yds
- ReceivingA.J. BrownPHI116 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- PHI passing attack#20/32CLE pass defense#12/32
- PHI run game#4/32CLE run defense#16/32
- CLE passing attack#31/32PHI pass defense#28/32
- CLE run game#20/32PHI run defense#20/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
CLECleveland Browns
- Deshaun WatsonQB · 5 games170pass yds/g
- Jerome FordRB · 5 games50rush yds/g
- Jerry JeudyWR · 5 games42.6rec yds/g
- Amari CooperWR · 5 games41.6rec yds/g
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Jalen HurtsQB · 4 games233pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 4 games109rush yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 3 games79.7rec yds/g
- Dallas GoedertTE · 4 games75.3rec yds/g