AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 6 · Final

Cleveland Browns at Philadelphia Eagles, final 16–20

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #4/32 · CLE run defense #16/32 · 117 offense / 135 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -3
Model total
43
80% range (PHI margin)
-6.7 to +19.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#20/32CLE pass defense#12/32
  • PHI run game#4/32CLE run defense#16/32
  • CLE passing attack#31/32PHI pass defense#28/32
  • CLE run game#20/32PHI run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CLECleveland Browns

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles