AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 6 · Final

Detroit Lions at Dallas Cowboys, final 47–9

DETDETDetroit Lions47DALDALDallas Cowboys9

Pregame first read

DET run game has the stronger league profile.

DET run game #3/32 · DAL run defense #31/32 · 125 offense / 147 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DET -3
Model total
47
80% range (DAL margin)
-12.8 to +13.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DAL passing attack#14/32DET pass defense#15/32
  • DAL run game#21/32DET run defense#13/32
  • DET passing attack#9/32DAL pass defense#20/32
  • DET run game#3/32DAL run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

DALDallas Cowboys