2024 Week 6 · Final
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans, final 20–17
Pregame first read
TEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.
IND passing attack #18/32 · TEN pass defense #5/32 · 157 offense / 111 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- IND -1
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (TEN margin)
- -10.7 to +15.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJoe FlaccoIND189 pass yds
- RushingTony PollardTEN93 rush yds
- ReceivingJosh DownsIND66 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- TEN passing attack#32/32IND pass defense#24/32
- TEN run game#16/32IND run defense#7/32
- IND passing attack#18/32TEN pass defense#5/32
- IND run game#9/32TEN run defense#6/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
INDIndianapolis Colts
- Joe FlaccoQB · 2 games264pass yds/g
- Jonathan TaylorRB · 4 games87.3rush yds/g
- Alec PierceWR · 5 games73.6rec yds/g
- Josh DownsWR · 3 games57.7rec yds/g
TENTennessee Titans
- Will LevisQB · 4 games151pass yds/g
- Tony PollardRB · 4 games61.5rush yds/g
- Calvin RidleyWR · 4 games35.3rec yds/g
- DeAndre HopkinsWR · 4 games30.3rec yds/g