AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 6 · Final

Pittsburgh Steelers at Las Vegas Raiders, final 32–13

Pregame first read

PIT run defense has the stronger league profile.

LV run game #32/32 · PIT run defense #3/32 · 107 offense / 123 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -5.5
Model total
39
80% range (LV margin)
-15.0 to +11.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LV passing attack#25/32PIT pass defense#17/32
  • LV run game#32/32PIT run defense#3/32
  • PIT passing attack#12/32LV pass defense#19/32
  • PIT run game#25/32LV run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PITPittsburgh Steelers

LVLas Vegas Raiders