AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 6 · Final

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints, final 51–27

TBTBTampa Bay Buccaneers51NONONew Orleans Saints27

Pregame first read

NO run game has the stronger league profile.

NO run game #11/32 · TB run defense #32/32 · 149 offense / 120 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NO -3
Model total
47.5
80% range (NO margin)
-6.5 to +20.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#6/32TB pass defense#18/32
  • NO run game#11/32TB run defense#32/32
  • TB passing attack#10/32NO pass defense#6/32
  • TB run game#14/32NO run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

TBTampa Bay Buccaneers

NONew Orleans Saints