AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 6 · Final

Washington Commanders at Baltimore Ravens, final 23–30

WASWASWashington Commanders23BALBALBaltimore Ravens30

Pregame first read

BAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.

BAL passing attack #2/32 · WAS pass defense #27/32 · 154 offense / 165 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -2
Model total
54.5
80% range (BAL margin)
-11.5 to +15.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#2/32WAS pass defense#27/32
  • BAL run game#2/32WAS run defense#14/32
  • WAS passing attack#1/32BAL pass defense#25/32
  • WAS run game#1/32BAL run defense#4/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

BALBaltimore Ravens