2024 Week 7 · Final
Baltimore Ravens at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, final 41–31
Pregame first read
BAL run game has the stronger league profile.
BAL run game #7/32 · TB run defense #26/32 · 172 offense / 112 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- TB -1
- Model total
- 54
- 80% range (TB margin)
- -20.8 to +18.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBaker MayfieldTB370 pass yds
- RushingDerrick HenryBAL169 rush yds
- ReceivingRashod BatemanBAL121 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- TB passing attack#19/32BAL pass defense#27/32
- TB run game#3/32BAL run defense#5/32
- BAL passing attack#1/32TB pass defense#10/32
- BAL run game#7/32TB run defense#26/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
BALBaltimore Ravens
- Lamar JacksonQB · 6 games255pass yds/g
- Derrick HenryRB · 6 games117rush yds/g
- Zay FlowersWR · 6 games66.8rec yds/g
- Rashod BatemanWR · 6 games45.5rec yds/g
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers
- Baker MayfieldQB · 6 games248pass yds/g
- Bucky IrvingRB · 6 games54.7rush yds/g
- Chris Godwin Jr.WR · 6 games85.2rec yds/g
- Mike EvansWR · 6 games51.7rec yds/g