AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Carolina Panthers at Washington Commanders, final 7–40

Pregame first read

WAS passing attack has the stronger league profile.

WAS passing attack #2/32 · CAR pass defense #29/32 · 159 offense / 157 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -11
Model total
52.5
80% range (WAS margin)
-7.3 to +27.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#2/32CAR pass defense#29/32
  • WAS run game#1/32CAR run defense#27/32
  • CAR passing attack#27/32WAS pass defense#22/32
  • CAR run game#12/32WAS run defense#18/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

WASWashington Commanders