AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns, final 21–14

CINCINCincinnati Bengals21CLECLECleveland Browns14

Pregame first read

CIN passing attack has the stronger league profile.

CIN passing attack #3/32 · CLE pass defense #17/32 · 185 offense / 153 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -4.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (CLE margin)
-22.7 to +12.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#28/32CIN pass defense#23/32
  • CLE run game#25/32CIN run defense#29/32
  • CIN passing attack#3/32CLE pass defense#17/32
  • CIN run game#13/32CLE run defense#19/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

CLECleveland Browns