AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints, final 33–10

DENDENDenver Broncos33NONONew Orleans Saints10

Pregame first read

DEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

NO passing attack #22/32 · DEN pass defense #2/32 · 162 offense / 186 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NO -0.5
Model total
43.5
80% range (NO margin)
-14.7 to +16.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NO passing attack#22/32DEN pass defense#2/32
  • NO run game#21/32DEN run defense#7/32
  • DEN passing attack#27/32NO pass defense#14/32
  • DEN run game#19/32NO run defense#32/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

NONew Orleans Saints