AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings, final 31–29

DETDETDetroit Lions31MINMINMinnesota Vikings29

Pregame first read

DET run defense has the stronger league profile.

MIN run game #22/32 · DET run defense #9/32 · 133 offense / 99 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
MIN -0.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (MIN margin)
-18.1 to +16.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIN passing attack#14/32DET pass defense#5/32
  • MIN run game#22/32DET run defense#9/32
  • DET passing attack#7/32MIN pass defense#3/32
  • DET run game#4/32MIN run defense#2/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DETDetroit Lions

MINMinnesota Vikings