AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers, final 22–24

HOUHOUHouston Texans22GBGBGreen Bay Packers24

Pregame first read

GB run defense has the stronger league profile.

HOU run game #31/32 · GB run defense #8/32 · 116 offense / 112 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -3
Model total
47
80% range (GB margin)
-15.7 to +19.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • GB passing attack#8/32HOU pass defense#4/32
  • GB run game#18/32HOU run defense#20/32
  • HOU passing attack#9/32GB pass defense#7/32
  • HOU run game#31/32GB run defense#8/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

HOUHouston Texans

GBGreen Bay Packers