AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Kansas City Chiefs at San Francisco 49ers, final 28–18

KCKCKansas City Chiefs28SFSFSan Francisco 49ers18

Pregame first read

SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.

SF passing attack #6/32 · KC pass defense #15/32 · 166 offense / 177 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
KC -0.5
Model total
44.5
80% range (SF margin)
-19.1 to +15.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • SF passing attack#6/32KC pass defense#15/32
  • SF run game#15/32KC run defense#6/32
  • KC passing attack#13/32SF pass defense#10/32
  • KC run game#8/32SF run defense#16/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

KCKansas City Chiefs

SFSan Francisco 49ers