AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona Cardinals, final 15–17

LACLACLos Angeles Chargers15ARIARIArizona Cardinals17

Pregame first read

LAC run defense has the stronger league profile.

ARI run game #16/32 · LAC run defense #3/32 · 138 offense / 110 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -5
Model total
40.5
80% range (ARI margin)
-26.5 to +13.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#11/32LAC pass defense#7/32
  • ARI run game#16/32LAC run defense#3/32
  • LAC passing attack#15/32ARI pass defense#28/32
  • LAC run game#23/32ARI run defense#27/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

ARIArizona Cardinals