AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Los Angeles Rams, final 15–20

Pregame first read

LA run game has the stronger league profile.

LA run game #10/32 · LV run defense #22/32 · 123 offense / 136 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PK
Model total
46
80% range (LA margin)
-18.4 to +16.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • LA passing attack#22/32LV pass defense#21/32
  • LA run game#10/32LV run defense#22/32
  • LV passing attack#26/32LA pass defense#30/32
  • LV run game#32/32LA run defense#30/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

LALos Angeles Rams