AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

New York Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 15–37

NYJNYJNew York Jets15PITPITPittsburgh Steelers37

Pregame first read

PIT run defense has the stronger league profile.

NYJ run game #28/32 · PIT run defense #1/32 · 114 offense / 120 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -3
Model total
36
80% range (PIT margin)
-15.7 to +19.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#12/32NYJ pass defense#2/32
  • PIT run game#19/32NYJ run defense#11/32
  • NYJ passing attack#20/32PIT pass defense#19/32
  • NYJ run game#28/32PIT run defense#1/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYJNew York Jets

PITPittsburgh Steelers