2024 Week 7 · Final
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants, final 28–3
Pregame first read
PHI run game has the stronger league profile.
PHI run game #5/32 · NYG run defense #25/32 · 149 offense / 101 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- PHI -1.5
- Model total
- 40
- 80% range (NYG margin)
- -19.9 to +14.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJalen HurtsPHI114 pass yds
- RushingSaquon BarkleyPHI176 rush yds
- ReceivingA.J. BrownPHI89 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NYG passing attack#10/32PHI pass defense#25/32
- NYG run game#29/32PHI run defense#15/32
- PHI passing attack#15/32NYG pass defense#13/32
- PHI run game#5/32NYG run defense#25/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles
- Jalen HurtsQB · 5 games239pass yds/g
- Saquon BarkleyRB · 5 games96.4rush yds/g
- A.J. BrownWR · 2 games118rec yds/g
- DeVonta SmithWR · 4 games75.8rec yds/g
NYGNew York Giants
- Daniel JonesQB · 6 games224pass yds/g
- Devin SingletaryRB · 4 games55.3rush yds/g
- Malik NabersWR · 4 games96.5rec yds/g
- Darius SlaytonWR · 6 games50.2rec yds/g