AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 7 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants, final 28–3

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #5/32 · NYG run defense #25/32 · 149 offense / 101 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -1.5
Model total
40
80% range (NYG margin)
-19.9 to +14.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYG passing attack#10/32PHI pass defense#25/32
  • NYG run game#29/32PHI run defense#15/32
  • PHI passing attack#15/32NYG pass defense#13/32
  • PHI run game#5/32NYG run defense#25/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

NYGNew York Giants