2024 Week 7 · Final
Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills, final 10–34
Pregame first read
BUF pass defense has the stronger league profile.
TEN passing attack #32/32 · BUF pass defense #11/32 · 157 offense / 189 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BUF -4.5
- Model total
- 45
- 80% range (BUF margin)
- -13.8 to +21.0
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJosh AllenBUF323 pass yds
- RushingTony PollardTEN61 rush yds
- ReceivingKeon ColemanBUF125 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- BUF passing attack#4/32TEN pass defense#9/32
- BUF run game#7/32TEN run defense#5/32
- TEN passing attack#32/32BUF pass defense#11/32
- TEN run game#11/32BUF run defense#21/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
TENTennessee Titans
- Will LevisQB · 5 games140pass yds/g
- Tony PollardRB · 5 games67.8rush yds/g
- DeAndre HopkinsWR · 5 games35rec yds/g
- Calvin RidleyWR · 5 games28.2rec yds/g
BUFBuffalo Bills
- Josh AllenQB · 6 games193pass yds/g
- James CookRB · 5 games61.8rush yds/g
- Khalil ShakirWR · 5 games49.8rec yds/g
- Dalton KincaidTE · 6 games36.2rec yds/g