AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 8 · Final

Arizona Cardinals at Miami Dolphins, final 28–27

ARIARIArizona Cardinals28MIAMIAMiami Dolphins27

Pregame first read

MIA pass defense has the stronger league profile.

ARI passing attack #25/32 · MIA pass defense #10/32 · 150 offense / 136 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
ARI -3
Model total
40
80% range (MIA margin)
-23.1 to +15.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • MIA passing attack#32/32ARI pass defense#29/32
  • MIA run game#32/32ARI run defense#27/32
  • ARI passing attack#25/32MIA pass defense#10/32
  • ARI run game#16/32MIA run defense#13/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

ARIArizona Cardinals

MIAMiami Dolphins