2024 Week 8 · Final
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns, final 24–29
Pregame first read
BAL passing attack has the stronger league profile.
BAL passing attack #1/32 · CLE pass defense #21/32 · 130 offense / 148 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- BAL -6.5
- Model total
- 48
- 80% range (CLE margin)
- -26.7 to +11.8
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJameis WinstonCLE334 pass yds
- RushingDerrick HenryBAL73 rush yds
- ReceivingZay FlowersBAL115 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- CLE passing attack#29/32BAL pass defense#27/32
- CLE run game#23/32BAL run defense#6/32
- BAL passing attack#1/32CLE pass defense#21/32
- BAL run game#6/32CLE run defense#9/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
BALBaltimore Ravens
- Lamar JacksonQB · 7 games259pass yds/g
- Derrick HenryRB · 7 games125rush yds/g
- Zay FlowersWR · 7 games58.9rec yds/g
- Rashod BatemanWR · 7 games56.3rec yds/g
CLECleveland Browns
- Deshaun WatsonQB · 7 games164pass yds/g
- Jerome FordRB · 6 games44rush yds/g
- Amari CooperWR · 6 games41.7rec yds/g
- David NjokuTE · 4 games41.3rec yds/g