AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 8 · Final

Carolina Panthers at Denver Broncos, final 14–28

CARCARCarolina Panthers14DENDENDenver Broncos28

Pregame first read

DEN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CAR passing attack #26/32 · DEN pass defense #1/32 · 178 offense / 209 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -12.5
Model total
43
80% range (DEN margin)
-7.9 to +30.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • DEN passing attack#23/32CAR pass defense#30/32
  • DEN run game#8/32CAR run defense#28/32
  • CAR passing attack#26/32DEN pass defense#1/32
  • CAR run game#13/32DEN run defense#17/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CARCarolina Panthers

DENDenver Broncos