AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 8 · Final

Chicago Bears at Washington Commanders, final 15–18

CHICHIChicago Bears15WASWASWashington Commanders18

Pregame first read

WAS run game has the stronger league profile.

WAS run game #2/32 · CHI run defense #10/32 · 154 offense / 114 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -1
Model total
47
80% range (WAS margin)
-19.4 to +19.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • WAS passing attack#2/32CHI pass defense#4/32
  • WAS run game#2/32CHI run defense#10/32
  • CHI passing attack#16/32WAS pass defense#11/32
  • CHI run game#18/32WAS run defense#20/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

WASWashington Commanders