2024 Week 8 · Final
Dallas Cowboys at San Francisco 49ers, final 24–30
Pregame first read
SF passing attack has the stronger league profile.
SF passing attack #6/32 · DAL pass defense #31/32 · 157 offense / 134 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- SF -5
- Model total
- 48.5
- 80% range (SF margin)
- -15.1 to +23.4
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingBrock PurdySF260 pass yds
- RushingIsaac GuerendoSF85 rush yds
- ReceivingCeeDee LambDAL146 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- SF passing attack#6/32DAL pass defense#31/32
- SF run game#11/32DAL run defense#31/32
- DAL passing attack#24/32SF pass defense#9/32
- DAL run game#21/32SF run defense#22/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DALDallas Cowboys
- Dak PrescottQB · 6 games267pass yds/g
- Rico DowdleRB · 6 games41rush yds/g
- CeeDee LambWR · 6 games77.8rec yds/g
- Jalen TolbertWR · 6 games48.3rec yds/g
SFSan Francisco 49ers
- Brock PurdyQB · 7 games263pass yds/g
- Jordan MasonRB · 7 games95.3rush yds/g
- Jauan JenningsWR · 6 games67.3rec yds/g
- Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · 5 games67rec yds/g