AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 8 · Final

Green Bay Packers at Jacksonville Jaguars, final 30–27

GBGBGreen Bay Packers30JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars27

Pregame first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #13/32 · JAX pass defense #32/32 · 174 offense / 194 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
GB -6.5
Model total
47.5
80% range (JAX margin)
-26.8 to +11.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • JAX passing attack#19/32GB pass defense#3/32
  • JAX run game#5/32GB run defense#7/32
  • GB passing attack#13/32JAX pass defense#32/32
  • GB run game#12/32JAX run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

GBGreen Bay Packers

JAXJacksonville Jaguars