2024 Week 8 · Final
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders, final 27–20
Pregame first read
KC run defense has the stronger league profile.
LV run game #30/32 · KC run defense #3/32 · 117 offense / 109 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- KC -8
- Model total
- 42.5
- 80% range (LV margin)
- -28.0 to +10.5
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingPatrick MahomesKC262 pass yds
- RushingKareem HuntKC59 rush yds
- ReceivingTravis KelceKC90 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LV passing attack#27/32KC pass defense#12/32
- LV run game#30/32KC run defense#3/32
- KC passing attack#21/32LV pass defense#18/32
- KC run game#4/32LV run defense#21/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
KCKansas City Chiefs
- Patrick MahomesQB · 6 games232pass yds/g
- Kareem HuntRB · 3 games83rush yds/g
- Rashee RiceWR · 3 games96rec yds/g
- JuJu Smith-SchusterWR · 3 games49rec yds/g
LVLas Vegas Raiders
- Gardner MinshewQB · 6 games195pass yds/g
- Alexander MattisonRB · 7 games35.7rush yds/g
- Davante AdamsWR · 3 games69.7rec yds/g
- Brock BowersTE · 7 games68.1rec yds/g