2024 Week 8 · Final
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams, final 20–30
Pregame first read
MIN run defense has the stronger league profile.
LA run game #16/32 · MIN run defense #1/32 · 126 offense / 97 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- MIN -8.5
- Model total
- 45.5
- 80% range (LA margin)
- -29.1 to +9.6
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingMatthew StaffordLA279 pass yds
- RushingKyren WilliamsLA97 rush yds
- ReceivingJustin JeffersonMIN115 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- LA passing attack#25/32MIN pass defense#12/32
- LA run game#16/32MIN run defense#1/32
- MIN passing attack#18/32LA pass defense#20/32
- MIN run game#20/32LA run defense#24/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
MINMinnesota Vikings
- Sam DarnoldQB · 6 games228pass yds/g
- Aaron JonesRB · 6 games73.8rush yds/g
- Justin JeffersonWR · 6 games88.5rec yds/g
- Jordan AddisonWR · 4 games52.3rec yds/g
LALos Angeles Rams
- Matthew StaffordQB · 6 games232pass yds/g
- Kyren WilliamsRB · 6 games72.7rush yds/g
- Cooper KuppWR · 2 games73.5rec yds/g
- Tutu AtwellWR · 5 games66.4rec yds/g