AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 8 · Final

New York Giants at Pittsburgh Steelers, final 18–26

NYGNYGNew York Giants18PITPITPittsburgh Steelers26

Pregame first read

PIT run defense has the stronger league profile.

NYG run game #29/32 · PIT run defense #3/32 · 133 offense / 116 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PIT -8
Model total
36.5
80% range (PIT margin)
-10.3 to +26.1

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PIT passing attack#12/32NYG pass defense#6/32
  • PIT run game#8/32NYG run defense#30/32
  • NYG passing attack#25/32PIT pass defense#22/32
  • NYG run game#29/32PIT run defense#3/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NYGNew York Giants

PITPittsburgh Steelers