AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 8 · Final

Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals, final 37–17

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #1/32 · CIN run defense #29/32 · 155 offense / 141 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -0.5
Model total
45.5
80% range (CIN margin)
-20.9 to +17.6

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#4/32PHI pass defense#15/32
  • CIN run game#19/32PHI run defense#8/32
  • PHI passing attack#20/32CIN pass defense#24/32
  • PHI run game#1/32CIN run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

CINCincinnati Bengals