AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 9 · Final

Chicago Bears at Arizona Cardinals, final 9–29

CHICHIChicago Bears9ARIARIArizona Cardinals29

Pregame first read

CHI passing attack has the stronger league profile.

CHI passing attack #10/32 · ARI pass defense #28/32 · 173 offense / 180 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CHI -5
Model total
44
80% range (ARI margin)
-22.6 to +13.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • ARI passing attack#15/32CHI pass defense#4/32
  • ARI run game#11/32CHI run defense#23/32
  • CHI passing attack#10/32ARI pass defense#28/32
  • CHI run game#17/32ARI run defense#29/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CHIChicago Bears

ARIArizona Cardinals