AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 9 · Final

Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens, final 10–41

DENDENDenver Broncos10BALBALBaltimore Ravens41

Pregame first read

BAL run defense has the stronger league profile.

DEN run game #9/32 · BAL run defense #6/32 · 135 offense / 117 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
DEN -1.5
Model total
46.5
80% range (BAL margin)
-19.1 to +16.9

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • BAL passing attack#1/32DEN pass defense#3/32
  • BAL run game#10/32DEN run defense#11/32
  • DEN passing attack#24/32BAL pass defense#27/32
  • DEN run game#9/32BAL run defense#6/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DENDenver Broncos

BALBaltimore Ravens