2024 Week 9 · Final
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers, final 24–14
Pregame first read
DET pass defense has the stronger league profile.
GB passing attack #14/32 · DET pass defense #1/32 · 180 offense / 214 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- DET -4.5
- Model total
- 50.5
- 80% range (GB margin)
- -22.1 to +13.9
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingJordan LoveGB273 pass yds
- RushingJosh JacobsGB95 rush yds
- ReceivingJayden ReedGB113 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- GB passing attack#14/32DET pass defense#1/32
- GB run game#14/32DET run defense#16/32
- DET passing attack#2/32GB pass defense#7/32
- DET run game#12/32GB run defense#9/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
DETDetroit Lions
- Jared GoffQB · 7 games242pass yds/g
- Jahmyr GibbsRB · 7 games84.4rush yds/g
- Jameson WilliamsWR · 6 games60.2rec yds/g
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · 7 games58.3rec yds/g
GBGreen Bay Packers
- Jordan LoveQB · 6 games258pass yds/g
- Josh JacobsRB · 8 games83.4rush yds/g
- Jayden ReedWR · 8 games63.4rec yds/g
- Romeo DoubsWR · 7 games54.9rec yds/g