AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 9 · Final

Jacksonville Jaguars at Philadelphia Eagles, final 23–28

JAXJAXJacksonville Jaguars23PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles28

Pregame first read

PHI run game has the stronger league profile.

PHI run game #1/32 · JAX run defense #22/32 · 157 offense / 122 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
PHI -6
Model total
46.5
80% range (PHI margin)
-11.8 to +24.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • PHI passing attack#20/32JAX pass defense#32/32
  • PHI run game#1/32JAX run defense#22/32
  • JAX passing attack#6/32PHI pass defense#8/32
  • JAX run game#13/32PHI run defense#7/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

JAXJacksonville Jaguars

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles