AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 9 · Final

Los Angeles Chargers at Cleveland Browns, final 27–10

LACLACLos Angeles Chargers27CLECLECleveland Browns10

Pregame first read

CLE run defense has the stronger league profile.

LAC run game #30/32 · CLE run defense #12/32 · 129 offense / 136 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
LAC -6
Model total
36
80% range (CLE margin)
-23.7 to +12.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CLE passing attack#25/32LAC pass defense#9/32
  • CLE run game#23/32LAC run defense#14/32
  • LAC passing attack#13/32CLE pass defense#21/32
  • LAC run game#30/32CLE run defense#12/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LACLos Angeles Chargers

CLECleveland Browns