AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 9 · Final

Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals, final 24–41

LVLVLas Vegas Raiders24CINCINCincinnati Bengals41

Pregame first read

CIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

LV passing attack #29/32 · CIN pass defense #19/32 · 187 offense / 202 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
CIN -3.5
Model total
47
80% range (CIN margin)
-14.2 to +21.8

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CIN passing attack#5/32LV pass defense#13/32
  • CIN run game#27/32LV run defense#21/32
  • LV passing attack#29/32CIN pass defense#19/32
  • LV run game#31/32CIN run defense#26/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

LVLas Vegas Raiders

CINCincinnati Bengals