AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 9 · Final

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers, final 22–23

NONONew Orleans Saints22CARCARCarolina Panthers23

Pregame first read

CAR run game has the stronger league profile.

CAR run game #16/32 · NO run defense #32/32 · 113 offense / 147 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
NO -8
Model total
49
80% range (CAR margin)
-25.7 to +10.3

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • CAR passing attack#30/32NO pass defense#18/32
  • CAR run game#16/32NO run defense#32/32
  • NO passing attack#31/32CAR pass defense#31/32
  • NO run game#18/32CAR run defense#28/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

NONew Orleans Saints

CARCarolina Panthers