AUGRISOpen research

2024 Week 9 · Final

Washington Commanders at New York Giants, final 27–22

WASWASWashington Commanders27NYGNYGNew York Giants22

Pregame first read

WAS run game has the stronger league profile.

WAS run game #2/32 · NYG run defense #31/32 · 156 offense / 125 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread
WAS -8
Model total
43.5
80% range (NYG margin)
-25.7 to +10.2

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

  • NYG passing attack#26/32WAS pass defense#2/32
  • NYG run game#20/32WAS run defense#13/32
  • WAS passing attack#3/32NYG pass defense#16/32
  • WAS run game#2/32NYG run defense#31/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2024 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

WASWashington Commanders

NYGNew York Giants