2025 Week 1 · Final
Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints, final 20–13
Pregame first read
ARI run game has the stronger league profile.
ARI run game #4/32 · NO run defense #29/32 · 133 offense / 161 defense EPA plays.
Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.
- Model spread
- ARI -4
- Model total
- 41
- 80% range (NO margin)
- -17.8 to +15.1
League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.
Recorded leaders
- PassingSpencer RattlerNO214 pass yds
- RushingTrey BensonARI69 rush yds
- ReceivingJuwan JohnsonNO76 rec yds
Unit matchups
Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.
- NO passing attack#31/32ARI pass defense#19/32
- NO run game#24/32ARI run defense#25/32
- ARI passing attack#12/32NO pass defense#18/32
- ARI run game#4/32NO run defense#29/32
Players to watch
Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.
ARIArizona Cardinals
Not enough recorded games yet.
NONew Orleans Saints
Not enough recorded games yet.