2025 Week 1 · Final

Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns, final 17–16

CINCINCincinnati Bengals17CLECLECleveland Browns16

Pregame first read

CIN pass defense has the stronger league profile.

CLE passing attack #32/32 · CIN pass defense #3/32 · 206 offense / 179 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: CIN -9
Model total: 48.5
80% range (CLE margin): -22.5 to +10.4

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingJoe FlaccoCLE290 pass yds
RushingChase BrownCIN43 rush yds
ReceivingJerry JeudyCLE66 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

CLE passing attack#32/32CIN pass defense#3/32
CLE run game#28/32CIN run defense#15/32
CIN passing attack#8/32CLE pass defense#15/32
CIN run game#14/32CLE run defense#9/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

CINCincinnati Bengals

Not enough recorded games yet.

CLECleveland Browns

Not enough recorded games yet.