2025 Week 1 · Final

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles, final 20–24

DALDALDallas Cowboys20PHIPHIPhiladelphia Eagles24

Pregame first read

PHI pass defense has the stronger league profile.

DAL passing attack #21/32 · PHI pass defense #3/32 · 165 offense / 208 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread: PHI -10
Model total: 49.5
80% range (PHI margin): -3.9 to +29.0

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.

Recorded leaders

PassingDak PrescottDAL188 pass yds
RushingJalen HurtsPHI62 rush yds
ReceivingCeeDee LambDAL110 rec yds

Unit matchups

Rank among qualified teams by EPA per play, from each team's last five games before kickoff.

PHI passing attack#5/32DAL pass defense#16/32
PHI run game#16/32DAL run defense#23/32
DAL passing attack#21/32PHI pass defense#3/32
DAL run game#21/32PHI run defense#9/32

Players to watch

Per-game averages from 2025 games before kickoff, minimum two games. Availability is not verified.

DALDallas Cowboys

Not enough recorded games yet.

PHIPhiladelphia Eagles

Not enough recorded games yet.