Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers, final 13–27

Pregame first read

GB passing attack has the stronger league profile.

GB passing attack #18/32 · DET pass defense #28/32 · 155 offense / 191 defense EPA plays.

Principal uncertainty · The model’s 80% range includes either team winning.

Model spread

GB -1.5

Model total

52.5

80% range (GB margin)

-12.2 to +20.7

League profiles describe different prior opponents. They do not measure this game’s head-to-head outcome. The model is a historical scoring estimate, not a betting line, and it does not know injuries or availability.